Russia likely to switch focus to Donetsk after declaring victory in Luhansk
Russian forces will "now almost certainly" switch focus to capturing Donetsk Oblast after claiming control of neighboring Luhansk Oblast in eastern Ukraine's disputed Donbas region, according to intelligence briefings from the U.K. Ministry of Defense.
Russian President Vladimir Putin declared victory in Luhansk on Monday, a day after Ukrainian troops withdrew from the city of Lysychansk -- their last stronghold of resistance in the province. Ukrainian troops had spent weeks trying to defend Lysychansk and to keep it from falling to Russian forces, as the neighboring city of Sievierodonetsk did a week ago. A river separates the two cities.
"Russia's focus will now almost certainly switch to capturing Donetsk Oblast, a large portion of which remain under the control of Ukrainian forces," the U.K. Ministry of Defense said in Monday's briefing. "The fight for the Donbas has been grinding and attritional and this is highly unlikely to change in the coming weeks."

Putin has made capturing the entire Donbas -- Ukraine's mostly Russian-speaking industrial heartland in the east -- a key goal in his war in neighboring Ukraine. Russia-backed separatists in Donbas have battled Ukrainian forces since 2014, when they declared independence from Kyiv after the Russian annexation of Ukraine's Crimean Peninsula. Moscow formally recognized the self-proclaimed republics in Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts just days before launching its Feb. 24 invasion.
"Russia's relatively rapid capture of Lysychansk extends its control across virtually all of the territory of Luhansk Oblast, allowing it to claim substantive progress against the policy objective it presented as the immediate purpose of the war, namely 'liberating' the Donbas," the U.K. Ministry of Defense said in Tuesday's briefing.
"Ukrainian forces have likely largely withdrawn in good order, in line with existing plans," the ministry continued. "The Ukrainian held areas of Sieverodonetsk-Lyschansk consisted of a bulge or salient which Russian could attack from three sides. There is a realistic possibility that Ukrainian forces will now be able to fall back to a more readily defendable, straightened front line."
"The battle for the Donbas has been characterised by slow rates of advance and Russia’s massed employment of artillery, levelling towns and cities in the process," the ministry added. "The fighting in Donetsk Oblast will almost certainly continue in this manner."








